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05B
City of Pleasanton
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CITY CLERK
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AGENDA PACKETS
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2008
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033108
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05B
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3/21/2008 11:21:00 AM
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3/21/2008 11:17:59 AM
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CITY CLERK
CITY CLERK - TYPE
STAFF REPORTS
DOCUMENT DATE
3/31/2008
DESTRUCT DATE
15 Y
DOCUMENT NO
05B
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Projected Enrollments from 2007 to 2017 Pleasanton Unified School District <br />Table 6: Average Student Generation Rates (SGRs) from Sampled Recently Built Housing Units <br /> Sampled Current District-Enrolled Resident Current <br />Sampled Category of Recently Housing Student Population by Grade Range K-12 <br />Built Housing in Pleasanton* Units K-2 3-5 6-8 9-12 K-12 SGR <br />SFD and Duets 870 213 219 203 259 894 1.03 <br />All Other ATT (excl. Duets) 1,089 116 88 102 144 450 0.41 <br />SFD =single family detached; ATT =attached, including condominiums, townhouses & apartments <br />Notes: The SFD sample includes all of the homes that had been occupied by October 2007 in "Ruby Hill" <br />(in which many, but not all, of the residences were completed in the last seven years) and excludes all <br />other housing tracts started prior to 2000 (none of which have a majority of recently built units). The new <br />"Ironwood" tracts are also excluded because there were too many unoccupied homes as of October 2007 <br />to identify accurate SGRs. Due to the minimal number of "All Other ATT" developments completed since <br />1999, however, that sample still contains complexes built in the late 1990s (for adequate sample size). <br />Table 7: Summary of Projected New Housing (excludes units restricted to seniors) <br />Housing Projected First Occupations of New Housing Units in 12 Months to October 1 of <br />Category 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total <br /> <br />SFD & Duet 85 75 72 104 105 68 73 72 73 73 800 <br />All Attached <br />other than Duet 35 20 100 125 125 150 150 150 148 147 1,150 <br />Total 120 95 172 229 230 218 223 222 221 220 1,950 <br />Notes: <br />(1) Allocation of units by timing, location and category made by EPC; all of these units are for site-specific projections. <br />(2) These amounts can differ from expected annual building permit totals for two reasons. The first is that the average <br />home becomes occupied 6-12 months after the construction permit was issued, and we are projecting for when <br />the students become enrolled, not when the construction started. In addition, the 12-month forecast period is from <br />October 1 through September 30 of each additional school year, whereas the city permit data is for calendar years. <br />(3) Total for "All Attached Other than Duet" includes 450 units near the existing BART station from 2013 to 2015. This is <br />a reduction from the previous expectation of up to 1,200 units. Additional units are possible in that vicinity after 2015. <br />Enrollment Projection Consultants P~~ <br />
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