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Baseline Forecasts <br /> <br /> Chapter Summary <br /> <br /> · Baseline forecasts representing ABAG Projections '90 land use data are required <br /> for Action Plans. <br /> · The baseline forecasts do not reflect current land use or network p]annlng by the <br /> TVTC. <br /> · The planned, baseline transportation system would be inadequate to support the <br /> 2010 baseline growth levels. <br /> <br /> The baseline traffic forecasts are for the years 2000 and 2010. They are based on land <br /> use projections from the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) Projections '90. <br /> Land use adjustments between individual zones were made to reflect discussions with <br /> local staff. The overall total dwelling units and jobs projections for the Tri-Valley were <br /> not altered. The assumed road network was based on input from the member jurisdic- <br /> tions of the TVTC as of 1992. This chapter describes the model inputs and the traffic <br /> forecasts and their impact on the road system. <br /> <br /> Baseline forecasts presented in this chapter are mandated by CCTA and the Alameda <br /> County CMA as part of their planning processes to insure consistency with ABAG <br /> projections throughout the counties. However, the Tri-Valley Transportation Council <br /> (TVTC) believes that the "expected land use" scenario provides a better basis for the <br /> development of the Tri-Valley Transportation Plan recommendations. The TVTC <br /> defined their expectations for land use and network projections, which are presented <br /> in Chapter 5. <br /> <br />Barton-Aschman Associates, Inc. 41 <br /> <br /> <br />