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Meghan Campbell (i) FARELLA <br /> November 30, 2022 BRAUN+MARTEL«e <br /> Page 2 <br /> with lower incomes, the City must show the realistic and demonstrated potential for <br /> redevelopment by making formal findings that the existing use does not impede residential <br /> development"based on substantial evidence that the use is likely to be discontinued"during the <br /> planning period. Government Code § 65583.2(g)(2)(final sentence). The City also fails to <br /> engage in the required analysis of existing leases, and market demand for the existing uses, that <br /> would indicate whether existing uses will continue. Government Code § 65583.2(g)(1). <br /> As explained below, applying these principles, the current draft does not meet the <br /> requirement that it identify sufficient sites that are realistic, suitable and available. The City <br /> relies heavily on the speculative and unlikely assumption that existing uses will cease during the <br /> next eight years in favor of affordable housing, even as to sites that have not made any progress <br /> towards residential development in the last eight years. <br /> 1. The BART Parking Lot(APN 941-2771-15 and 941-2778-2) <br /> Many cities in the Bay Area hope that BART parking lots will be redeveloped as <br /> residential housing, and have listed BART parking lots on their housing element inventories. <br /> Indeed, BART has expressed an intention to eventually redevelop land at a number of its <br /> stations. <br /> The problem for Pleasanton's draft Housing Element is this: Nothing about what BART <br /> has said makes it"likely"that BART will cease the existing use of the Dublin/Pleasanton BART <br /> station parking lots on Owens Drive within the next eight years, and absent substantial evidence <br /> that BART is likely to discontinue use during the next eight years,the existing use is presumed <br /> to be an obstacle to the building of affordable housing. The two BART parking lot parcels are <br /> thus not appropriately counted towards the obligation to provide for the need for lower income <br /> housing. <br /> Pleasanton itself acknowledged the unlikelihood of the redevelopment of the BART <br /> parking lot as recently as July 2021. In appealing the RHNA allocation to the Association of <br /> Bay Area Governments, Pleasanton argued: "One of the more significant theoretical <br /> development opportunities is housing on land owned by BART. BART, in its August 2020 <br /> Transit-Oriented Development Program Work Plan, identified the Pleasanton area BART <br /> stations as a low priority for investment in housing-focused projects (both BART stations are <br /> identified as priorities for commercial, not residential, development [], meaning that a significant <br /> policy shift would have to occur at BART in order to bring these sites on-line during the RHNA <br /> planning period." Pleasanton RHNA Appeal. HAC Appendix Tab 2. <br /> The 2021 RHNA appeal was right about the facts. BART has stated that its development <br /> of parking lots is governed by its August 2020 ten-year work plan. HAC Appendix Tab 3. The <br /> 38 page plan was"initiated as a way to differentiate zoning from development and give <br /> jurisdictions clarity around when development of BART property is anticipated to occur as they <br /> embark on rezoning efforts . . . ." BART Transit Oriented Development work plan, at p. 9. The <br /> plan discusses how it prioritized which stations would be developed during the next ten years, <br />