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Chapter 6 <br />Water Supply Characterization <br />THE CITY OF <br />PL£ASANTON <br />DWR's estimates of SWP deliveries are based on a computer model that simulates monthly operations of <br />the SWP and Central Valley Project (CVP) systems. Key inputs to the model include system facilities, <br />hydrologic inflows to the system, regulatory and operational constraints on system operations, and <br />contractor demands for SWP water. In conducting its model studies, DWR must make assumptions <br />regarding each of these key inputs. <br />In the 2019 DCR model for existing (2020) conditions, DWR assumed: existing facilities, hydrologic inflows <br />to the model based on 82 years of historical inflows (1922 through 2003), current regulatory and <br />operational constraints, and contractor demands at maximum Table A amounts. Note that the regulatory <br />and operational constraints include the 2018 Coordinated Operations Agreement (COA) Amendment, <br />2019 Biological Opinions, and 2020 Incidental Take Permit. The 2018 COA Amendment lays out the terms <br />under which the CVP operates with the SWP. The 2019 Biological Opinions for the Long -Term Operation <br />of the CVP and SWP reflect the federal government's (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service's) opinion as to <br />whether or not the operation of the CVP and SWP is likely to jeopardize the continued existence of <br />threatened and endangered species or result in the destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat. <br />Finally, the 2020 Incidental Take Permit is a requirement for the SWP's California Endangered Species Act <br />compliance with regards to state -protected longfin smelt and state- and federally -protected delta smelt, <br />winter -run Chinook, and spring -run Chinook. <br />To evaluate SWP supply availability under future conditions, the 2019 DCR included a model study <br />representing hydrologic and sea level rise conditions at 2040. The future condition study used all of the <br />same model assumptions as the study under existing conditions but reflected changes expected to occur <br />from climate change, specifically, projected temperature and precipitation changes centered around 2035 <br />(2020 to 2049) and a 45 cm sea level rise. <br />For Zone 7's Table A supply, the 2019 DCR's existing condition was assumed to represent 2020 (59 percent <br />of Table A reliability, 47,600 AFY)Z, and the future condition (54 percent of Table A reliability, 43,500 AFY)z <br />was applied to 2040; the years in between were interpolated between these two bookends'. Note that <br />the effect of the proposed Delta Conveyance Project on SWP water supply yield is still being analyzed and <br />has not been included. <br />As a SWP contractor, Zone 7 has the option to store unused Table A water from one year to the next in <br />the SWP's San Luis Reservoir, when there is storage capacity available. This "carryover" water is also called <br />Article 12e or 56c water, in reference to the relevant contract terms. Article 12e water must be taken by <br />March 31 of the following year, but Article 56c water may remain as carryover as long as San Luis Reservoir <br />storage is available. The analysis in Zone 7's UWMP assumes Zone 7 carries over 10,000 AF of water each <br />year on average. <br />6.2.1.2.1.3 Article 21 Water (Interruptible or Surplus Water) <br />Under Article 21 of Zone 7's SWP contract, Zone 7 also has access to excess water supply from the SWP <br />that is available only if: 1) it does not interfere with SWP operations or Table A allocations, 2) excess water <br />is available in the Delta, and 3) it will not be stored in the SWP system. As described in the 2019 DCR, <br />z Existing condition: Table A-4 of the Technical Addendum to the 2019 DCR. Future condition: Table B-6. <br />3 For comparison, the Zone 7's 2015 UWMP assumed 62 percent of Table A reliability (50,000 AFY). The 2019 WSE Update <br />assumed 49 percent of Table A reliability (39,500 AF). Table A allocations over the last ten years have ranged between 5 percent <br />and 85 percent, with an average of 48 percent. <br />WEST YOST 6-4 City of Pleasanton <br />2020 Urban Water Management Plan <br />N-e80-60-20-04-wP-a-680-2020uwMP May 2021 <br />