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JDEDZ PROJECT REVIEW
<br />SEPTEMBER 2017
<br />Figure 6
<br />HOUSEHOLD AND MARKET DEMAND CALCULATIONS
<br />Civic Economics removes vehicle purchases, restaurants and bars from dataset.
<br />Per Household Demand
<br />Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
<br />Home Fumishings and Appliance Stores
<br />Building Materials and Garden Equipment Stores
<br />Food and Beverage Stores
<br />Gasoline Stations
<br />Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores
<br />General Merchandise Stores
<br />Food Services and Drinking Places
<br />Other Retail Group
<br />Total
<br />ALH
<br />$5,048
<br />$1,887
<br />$2,204
<br />$6,260
<br />$4,222
<br />$2, 593
<br />$5,092
<br />$4,662
<br />$4,590
<br />$36,558
<br />Civic
<br />Economics
<br />$471
<br />$1,930
<br />$2,254
<br />$6,403
<br />$4,318
<br />$2,652
<br />$5,208
<br />$0
<br />$4,695
<br />$27,930
<br />HH Demand as a Share of Income
<br />Increase in Households, 2015-2028
<br />25%
<br />6095
<br />19.1%
<br />Market Area Demand Growth, 2015-2028 ALH
<br />Leaving household demand constant as a share ofinco
<br />Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
<br />Home Fumishings and Appliance Stores
<br />Building Materials and Garden Equipment Stores
<br />Food and Beverage Stores
<br />Gasoline Stations
<br />Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores
<br />General Merchandise Stores
<br />Food Services and Drinking Places
<br />Other Retail Group
<br />Total
<br />$30,770,182
<br />$11,500,843
<br />$13,432,983
<br />$38,152,384
<br />$25,734,700
<br />$15,803,657
<br />$31,036,468
<br />$28,412,138
<br />$27,976,200
<br />$222,819,555
<br />Civic
<br />Economics
<br />me
<br />$2,868,045
<br />$11,763,232
<br />$13,739,355
<br />$39,023,758
<br />$26,319,218
<br />$16,164,314
<br />$31,742,648
<br />$0
<br />$28,613,266
<br />$170,233,835
<br />Sources: ALH Economic Impact Analysis, Bureau of Economic Analysis
<br />Motor vehicle sales are the most problematic inclusion here. A more typical approach to
<br />analyzing retail activity is to separate motor vehicle parts stores, which function like traditional
<br />retailers and may be included in the JDEDZ, from those selling vehicles, which do not and will
<br />not. In this case, the inclusion of vehicle sales in the analysis also serves to dilute the apparent
<br />impact of the JDEDZ retailers. The ALH study counted $5,048 in annual vehicle purchase
<br />expenditures as retail; the auto parts retail segment constitutes just $471 of that amount.
<br />Eating and Drinking Establishments are also included in the retail segment for estimating
<br />household consumer demand. Costco stores, of course, include limited on-site food services
<br />Civic Economics 14
<br />P14-0852 and PUD -105, JDEDZ - Public Comments Provided for October 11, 2017 Planning Commission Meeting 52
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