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22
City of Pleasanton
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CITY CLERK
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AGENDA PACKETS
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2016
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100416
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22
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11/30/2016 2:23:44 PM
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9/29/2016 2:50:37 PM
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CITY CLERK
CITY CLERK - TYPE
AGENDA REPORT
DOCUMENT DATE
10/4/2016
DESTRUCT DATE
15Y
DOCUMENT NO
21
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To estimate Alameda CCA's capacity requirements, MRW developed a forecast of Alameda <br /> CCA's peak demand in each year and subtracted the net qualifying capacity credits provided by <br /> Alameda CCA's renewable power purchases. This is appropriate because the renewable energy <br /> prices used in this analysis reflect prices for contracts that supply both energy and capacity. If <br /> Alameda CCA purchases renewable energy via energy-only contracts, Alameda CCA's need for <br /> capacity will be greater than forecasted here, but these higher costs will be fully offset by the <br /> lower costs for the renewable energy. <br /> MRW estimated current peak demand for Alameda CCA's load using the 2013-2014 monthly <br /> bills for all the current PG&E clients in Alameda county17 and PG&E's class-average load <br /> profiles. We forecasted changes to this peak demand based on the California Energy <br /> Commission's forecast of changes to peak demand in PG&E's planning area.i8 We calculated <br /> capacity requirements as 115% of the expected peak demand in order to include sufficient <br /> capacity to fulfill resource adequacy requirements. We applied a consistent methodology to <br /> obtain the peak demand growth rates and capacity requirements for PG&E. <br /> To estimate the cost of Alameda CCA's capacity needs, MRW priced capacity purchases at the <br /> median price of recent Resource Adequacy purchases, escalated with inflation.t9 <br /> 17 Monthly bills corresponding to 2013 and 2014 for all the clients in Alameda county provided by PG&E. <br /> 18 California Energy Commission.Demand Forecast.PG&E Forecast Zone Results Mid Demand Case,Sales <br /> Forecast,Central Valley Region.December 14,2015. <br /> 19 CPUC 2013-2014 Resource Adequacy Report Final,August 5,2015,page 23 Table 11. <br /> July,2016 B-5 MRW&Associates,LLC <br />
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