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unlikely as the Dublin Lowe's would be better positioned to capture the Johnson Drive revenues <br />rather than the proposed store at Stanley and Bernal. <br />Staff then went back to their fiscal analysis and adjusted it for the information gathered from <br />Precise and said Regency brought forward their calculations of the revenues and they had hired <br />Cosmot and Associates from southern California to do their fiscal analysis which was presented. <br />Also, other tax revenues projected were presented as a result of building the shopping center, <br />and her calculations indicate it to be $370,000 and Regency is estimating it to be $825,000. <br />They then looked at the expenditure side for City services for the project. Certain expenditures <br />on private property are taken care of by the store's private maintenance, such as street <br />sweeping, garbage service, parking lot maintenance, security, but the City looks at others. She <br />said they looked at both average costing and marginal or incremental costing back in May. <br />Currently, it costs the City $1 per square foot of new development to provide services, so based <br />on 190,000 square feet, or $190,000 per year. For the marginal costs, they visited Bay Area <br />Economics and as a result of the general plan update, they found the marginal costs were <br />approximately $115,000, which consisted of a portion of a police officer, code enforcement <br />officer and street maintenance officer, or an equivalent of 1.5 FTE, or $115,000. <br />As a result of workshops the City looked at the worst-case scenario, a 3/a police officer, 3/a of a <br />code enforcement officer for a cost of $193,000. The net fiscal analysis is that this center would <br />produce $375,000 in gross revenues and of that, between $185,000 and $260,000 would be the <br />net revenue increase to the City, which is about $3 million. <br />To summarize, Mr. Tassano said the Home Depot report assumed internal capture and pass-by <br />which reduced the 773 to 242 trips. Staff used the 773 number to calculate intersection level of <br />service and they found the three intersections increased in its level of services. And, if Johnson <br />Drive store closes and 75 trips are added to the intersection, additional mitigations are <br />necessary. <br />Mayor Hosterman said she noticed in the analysis afast-food with drive-through was included <br />which adds considerably to the numbers. The Council specifically stated it was not interested in <br />seeing a fast food with adrive-through. Mr. Tassano said this was done only to be consistent <br />with what the original Home Depot report submitted and he agreed the numbers were slightly on <br />the high side as a result, and the developer agreed, as well. <br />Councilmember Sullivan said the Council approved the water slide in phases and he confirmed <br />Mr. Tassano used the full build-out numbers. City Manager Fialho said the City received <br />notification that the water slide developer appears to be pulling back on the project. Staff has <br />not yet met with them, but the project may not be moving forward in the short term; however, it <br />does not necessarily mean it is final because he still has project approval and building permits. <br />The Council agreed to assume the numbers are still there to understand all impacts. <br />Councilmember McGovern referred to Table 10 on page 15 and Mr. Tassano noted the <br />weekend analysis took into account internal capture and pass-by and they used weekday <br />numbers, so he changed where some of the critical intersections are and the table in the report <br />would need to be amended. Mr. Tassano said signal timing adjustments would be made to <br />mitigate the significant east/west traffic for StanleyNalley/Bernal and also for Bernal at Valley <br />because of the waterslide. <br />City Council Minutes 8 December 4, 2007 <br />