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<br />~ <br />~ <br />l <br />i <br />~ <br /> <br />I <br />l <br />l <br />l <br />I <br />I, <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br /> <br />STATE OF CALIFORNIA <br />CURRENT 1 PROJECTED CREMATION RATE <br /> <br />Projected <br />!i~~lMI[e1~~~lt~J <br /> <br />Source: Cremation Association of North America (CANA) <br /> <br />The Alameda and Contra Costa County rate of cremation is lower than the <br />statewide rate due to the ethnic diversity of the county and their respective <br />funerallburial traditions and practices. CANA reported metropolitan cremation <br />statistics for the years 1994, 1995, and 1996 and then discontinued this <br />reporting. In these years, the Oakland metropolitan area reported actual <br />cremations of 12,404, 8,718 and 13,969, respectively. The CANA data is for a <br />larger area than the two counties considered in this analysis. The cremation rate <br />for the two counties is projected to slowly increase to an initial peak of <br />approximately 40% by 2020. It is likely the cremation rate in the City of <br />Pleasanton is already above this rate. Countywide the ratios of burial to <br />cremation to ship out would be as follows: <br /> <br /> <br />2003 65% 30% <br />2005 63% 32% <br />2010 61% 34% <br />2020 55% 40% <br />Source: L.F. Sloane Consultin Grou Inc. Pro.eclion <br /> <br />5% <br />5% <br />5% <br />5% <br /> <br />We believe these ratios are conservative and represent a realistic projection <br />based upon the source information. <br /> <br />4 <br />