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Pmiected Enrollments from 2005 to 2015 Pleasanton Unified School District The potential impact of these resident changes is more apparent when compared to the "planning" capacity of each elementary school. Planning capacity differs from the interim operating capacity at each school because some sites may have portables on top of former playground areas and/or parking spaces out of necessity, while other schools may have space to handle additional classrooms. As a resuit, the planning capacity can be more or less than the actual current capacity for each school. The district has adopted the following capacity goals for the elemenlaries: maximums of 750 at Donlon and 698 for Walnut Grove and 600 for the remaining schools, with the latter schools having classrooms for special uses that could increase the planning capacities to 660 if necessary. Four elementaries already have significantly more resident students than capacity, and three of those (the Hearst, AJisal and Valley View regions) are projected to add students in the immediate future. Valley View currently has 803 resident students in a maximum capacity goal of 600. That Is 203 excess students (the "-203" in the table). Even with a net adjustment loss of 111 students, to an enrollment of 692, this school is over capacity. Although only 23 additional students are forecast in the next three years, with a slight drop (to a gain of 10) in the following year, that still will be an increase in the capacity shortage. Vintage Hills has always received a large number of students from the Valley View region, especially the Ruby Hill section, and continuing that will lessen this capacity impact on Valley View. Also exceeding the planned capacity in both current resident and enrollment amounts is Alisal. Unlike Valley View, this school has a net enrollment increase caused by intra-district attendance, which adds to the capacity impact. The projected resident growth by 22 next year and 42 over the next four years would only further this capacity issue. The third elementary that currently has far more resident students than capacity, and which is slated for more growth, is Hearst. This region added 92 resident elementary students in just the last year (I.e. from 656 to 748), leading to a net adjustment shift from a gain of 30 in 2004 to a loss of 77 in this school year. With another 32 students expected to be added in the pending school year, this region is projected to have 780 resident K-5 students for a school with a 600-student planning capacity. The only remaining elementary with notably more enrolled students than planned capacity is Lydiksen, and that is mainly the result of a large net adjustment in attendance (+86, to an enrollment of 695). The resident total for Lydlksen, however, stays quite close to the planned capacity through 2009. The remaining elementarles do not have evident capacity needs. Fairlands has too many current resident students (676) for the planned capacity of 600, but much of that difference is erased through a net adjustment loss (-54) to the other schools. The population in that area is also projected to decline after 2006. Donlon, Walnut Grove and Vintage Hills all should be below their maximums. The secondary schools, in comparison to the elementaries, have had greater differences in their total populations for several years, but that has always been alleviated by the net adjustments. The Harvest Park region has almost 400 less resident students than the other two middle schools, but that gap is more than halved by a current net gain of 176 students (with corresponding reductions at the others). That net adjustment is far more than the projected resident changes, which range from a growth of 26 to a decline by 72, for a difference of less than 100. Intra-district decisions clearly could be the larger factor in any enrollment shifts at this grade level. 'Capacity figures are from the Board Agenda Backup for item number 14.9 on April 15, 2003. Middle school and high school capacities are not identified in that document. Enrollment Projection Consultants Papec