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and/or exposure of buried infrastructure.60 Furthermore, increased storm intensity and frequency <br /> could affect the ability of flood-control facilities, including levees,to handle storm events. <br /> Air Quality <br /> Scientists project that the annual average maximum daily temperatures in California could rise by <br /> 2.4 to 3.2°C in the next 50 years and by 3.1 to 4.9°C in the next century.61 Higher temperatures are <br /> conducive to air pollution formation,and rising temperatures could therefore result in worsened air <br /> quality in California.As a result, climate change may increase the concentration of ground-level <br /> ozone, but the magnitude of the effect, and therefore its indirect effects,are uncertain. In addition, <br /> as temperatures have increased in recent years,the area burned by wildfires throughout the State <br /> has increased, and wildfires have occurred at higher elevations in the Sierra Nevada Mountains.62 If <br /> higher temperatures continue to be accompanied by an increase in the incidence and extent of <br /> large wildfires, air quality could worsen. Severe heat accompanied by drier conditions and poor air <br /> quality could increase the number of heat-related deaths, illnesses, and asthma attacks throughout <br /> the State. However, if higher temperatures are accompanied by wetter, rather than drier conditions, <br /> the rains could tend to temporarily clear the air of particulate pollution,which would effectively <br /> reduce the number of large wildfires and thereby ameliorate the pollution associated with them.63 <br /> Water Supply <br /> Analysis of paleoclimatic data (such as tree-ring reconstructions of stream flow and precipitation) <br /> indicates a history of naturally and widely varying hydrologic conditions in California and the west, <br /> including a pattern of recurring and extended droughts. Uncertainty remains with respect to the <br /> overall impact of climate change on future precipitation trends and water supplies in California. <br /> Year-to-year variability in Statewide precipitation levels has increased since 1980, meaning that wet <br /> and dry precipitation extremes have become more common.64 This uncertainty regarding future <br /> precipitation trends complicates the analysis of future water demand, especially where the <br /> relationship between climate change and its potential effect on water demand is not well <br /> understood.The average early spring snowpack in the western U.S., including the Sierra Nevada <br /> Mountains,decreased by about 10 percent during the last century. During the same period,sea <br /> level rose over 0.15 meter along the central and southern California coasts.65 The Sierra snowpack <br /> provides the majority of California's water supply as snow that accumulates during wet winters is <br /> released slowly during the dry months of spring and summer.A warmer climate is predicted to <br /> reduce the fraction of precipitation that falls as snow and the amount of snowfall at lower <br /> elevations,thereby reducing the total snowpack.66 Projections indicate that average spring <br /> 60 California,State of.2018.California's Fourth Climate Change Assessment Statewide Summary Report.August 27,2018. <br /> https://www.e n ergy.ca.gov/sites/defa u It/fi I es/2019-11/Statewi de_Reports-SUM-CCCA4-2018-013_Statewid e_Su m m a ry_Report_ADA.pdf <br /> 61 Ibid. <br /> 62 Ibid. <br /> 63 California Natural Resources Agency.2009.2009 California Climate Adaptation Strategy.March 2009. <br /> http://resources.ca.gov/docs/climate/Statewide—Ada ptation_Strategy.pdf <br /> 64 California Department of Water Resources.2018.Indicators of Climate Change in California.May 2018. <br /> https://oeh ha.ca.gov/media/downloads/climate-change/report/2018caindicatorsreportmay2018.pdf <br /> 65 California,State of.2018.California's Fourth Climate Change Assessment Statewide Summary Report.August 27,2018. <br /> htt ps://www.en a rgy.ca.gov/sites/defa u It/fi les/2019-11/Statewide_Re ports-SUM-CCCA4-2018-013_Statewid e_Su m ma ry_Repo rt_A DA.pdf <br /> 66 Ibid. <br />