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Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study <br />August 2021 │ Final 5 <br /> <br />agencies. Accordingly, it was agreed that a process to refine the existing CCTA forecast in a manner that <br />could be reasonably justified based on readily available information and data would be undertaken. <br />Specifically, this forecast is intended to reflect both realistic and achievable 2040 growth within the study <br />area, and not necessarily circumstances that would be reflective of the full potential of the study area or an <br />overly conservative approach such as a “worst‐case” scenario. <br />2.2 TRAVEL DEMAND FORECAST <br />This section presents the growth forecast based on feedback from member agencies. <br />2.2.1 HOUSEHOLD GROWTH <br />Table 1 and Figure 1 summaries the estimated household growth between 2020 and 2040 the resulted <br />from the process described in the prior section. Between 2020 and 2040 there is an expected total growth <br />of 33,312 households within the Tri-Valley Area. This equates to a 24 percent change or an annual growth <br />rate of 1.09%. <br />Table 1: Total Household Forecasts by Agency <br />Agency 2020 2040 2020-2040 <br />Growth <br />Percent <br />Change <br />Annual <br />Growth <br />Rate <br />Danville 15,564 16,557 993 6% 0.31% <br />Dublin 21,708 29,105 7,397 34% 1.48% <br />Livermore 30,685 39,759 9,074 30% 1.30% <br />Pleasanton 27,783 34,099 6,316 23% 1.03% <br />San Ramon 27,624 36,638 9,014 33% 1.42% <br />Alameda Unincorporated 2,108 2,362 254 12% 0.57% <br />Contra Costa Unincorporated 11,921 12,185 264 2% 0.11% <br />Total Tri-Valley 137,393 170,705 33,312 24% 1.09% <br />