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2. Projected Shortfall and Need for Sites to be Rezoned for Residential Use <br />While minor changes may still be made before finalizing the baseline number of units, the <br />analysis indicates there is a shortfall of currently available sites across all income categories. <br />As shown in Table 2, the anticipated shortfall includes a minimum of approximately 1,284 <br />lower-income units (Extremely -Low, Very Low and Low); 312 Moderate Income Units, and <br />1,547 above -moderate income units for which additional sites will need to be identified, with <br />the total gap estimated at 3,143 units. <br />Table 2: Existing Residertial Capacity and "Gap" <br />Income Category <br />Very Low Low Moderate Above Total <br />Moderate <br />RHNA 1,750 1,008 894 <br />2,313 <br />5,965 <br />Existing Residential <br />Zoning <br />Carryover from prior 1,146 372 <br />0 <br />1,417 <br />Housing Element <br />Capacity from existing 256 185 <br />387 <br />929 <br />residential zoning <br />Pipeline Projects <br />Entitled/Approved 23 - <br />371 <br />394 <br />Projects <br />ADUs 24' 25 25 <br />8 <br />82 <br />Projected Shortfall 2 (1,284) (312) <br />(1,547) <br />(3,143)--- <br />' The 24 ADU units are split evenly between the "Extremely Low" and "Very Low" income categories. <br />'- Although the analysis of existing capacity generally identifies production in more detail across affordability <br />categories, <br />HCD's guidance treats planning for "lower-income" housing in a manner that conceptually <br />aggregates Extremely -Low, <br />Very -Low and Low -Income categories, and therefore the table similarly aggregates them. <br />FRAMEWORK CONSIDERATIONS FOR DEVELOPING THE SITES INVENTORY <br />The following outlines some of the key assumptions and "building blocks" that provide the <br />framework for developing the sites inventory. <br />Total Number of Sites and Zonina Caoacity <br />As was outlined in the August 25, 2021, Planning Commission Agenda Report, the process to <br />analyze and select sites will be a multi -step process including: <br />Identification of an Initial Sites List <br />CEQA review of prospective sites and potential environmental impacts <br />HCD review of draft sites inventory <br />Review and refinement of final sites list for inclusion in the Housing Element. <br />Housing Element Update Planning Commission <br />5of19 <br />