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Fi•ure 1 Summa of Pleasanton GHG Emissions Chan•es from 2005 to 2017 2005 2017 (MT CO2e) (MT CO2e) Percent Change Residential Electricity 46,782 17,571 -62% Nonresidential Electricity 89,385 30,910 -65% Direct Access Electricity 21,4791 10,700 N/A Residential Gas 66,175 62,647 -5% Nonresidential Gas 43,094 56,181 +30% Waste 35,497 29,358 -17% Water 5,130 1,750 -66% Wastewater 1,559 1,180 -24% On-Road Transportation 386,963 329,615 -15% Off-Road Transportation 117,067 48,634 -58% Total Emissions 813,131 588,553 -28% Emissions Per Capita 12.2 7.7 -37% MT CO2e:metric tons of CO2 equivalent 1 PG&E did not report data for direct access electricity usage in Pleasanton for 2005 and 2010 due to the CPUC's 15-15 privacy rule.Direct access electricity usage was estimated for these years using the average rate of direct access electricity usage in Alameda County for 2005 (see Section 2.3 of Attachment 2 for more details on this calculation). Future GHG Emissions Forecasts Based on Pleasanton's 2017 GHG emissions inventory, emissions were forecasted out for future years (accounting for projected growth). Attachment 2 details a business-as- usual (BAU) forecast for GHG emissions every five years through the year 2050. The BAU forecast estimates emissions for various sectors but does not consider regulations that may affect said emissions. The BAU forecast is then adjusted to take into account the effect of state and federal regulations (detailed in Section 4 of Attachment 2) that will impact future emissions (e.g., building codes and car efficiency standards) for the same forecast years as the BAU forecast. This is called the adjusted forecast. Along with the target pathway (see discussion below), the adjusted forecast for future years is used to help inform the policy focus in the CAP 2.0. The actions in the CAP 2.0 will be focused on closing the gap between the adjusted GHG emissions forecast and the GHG emission reduction target pathway the City establishes. This concept is illustrated in Figure 2 below. Please note, there is a great deal of speculation around the pandemic's impact on emissions forecasts. However, concrete data is not available for the City to include the potential changes/impacts in Pleasanton's forecast at this time. Additionally, events such as extreme wildfires can release significant emissions. Emissions caused by the recent wildfires are not captured in the current forecast. Page 4 of 10