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7 ■ Christy Leffall, ABAG Page 2 January 15, 2016 3 Anticipated Growth in Housing Element.,The Citywide projections provided in July 2015 were consistent with the rate of growth anticipated in the City's Housing Element (an increase of 28% in households over the 30 year period) This 28% increase over the 30 year time period was based on ABAG Data profiles for Housing Elements 2013 However, scenarios 1, 2, and 3 represent a Citywide increase of 41%, 43%, and 38%, respectively, representing a significant departure from the City's Housing Element, and from ABAG's previous projections Thus, we believe the growth rates of all three scenarios are not consistent with the City's existing planning documents and should be revised accordingly 4 Hacienda. Hacienda os identified as a PDA. While Hacienda is not a planned or confirmed PDA, we understand ABAG has identified it as a potential PDA As noted in our comments in response to the July 2015 estimate, the rate of growth projected in Hacienda far surpasses the rate of growth projected elsewhere in the City, as it is estimated at 300% compared to a Citywide rate of about 40% Of the total number of units identified in the current Housing Element, approximately 57% are located within Hacienda It could be argued that modest increased growth in Hacienda compared to the remainder of the City appears appropriate due to the access to BART, employment opportunities, and other factors, but we are concerned that such high levels of growth are not realistic for the existing business park, particularly given the limited number of developable sites 5 Specific Metrics. As indicated in our response to the July 2015 projections, it would be helpful to understand the metrics used to determine both the Citywide and Hacienda projections Additionally, if feasible, it would be helpful to obtain details on the comprehensive analytical process used to develop detailed geographic distributions of the regional forecast for each scenario, and details of Pleasanton's simulation on the UrbanSim modeling tool Please provide these metrics so we can review them As you know, Pleasanton has a high standard for planning, and the adopted growth management ordinance was designed to meter growth in a way that allows for the City to maintain its desired level of service While the City understands its role in helping meet the projected regional demand for housing and employment, we believe the growth rates in all three scenarios would compromise the objective of allowing for metered growth that allows us to maintain existing service levels 1