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o In some cases, PDAs are assigned higher densities in the future than currently allowed o The cost of building in PDAs and/or Transit Priority Areas (TPAs) is assumed to be reduced by the easing of residential parking minimums and streamlining environmental review © Subsidies are assumed to stimulate housing and commercial development within PDAs Plan Bay Area 2040 does not establish a new State-mandated Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA) The next iteration of RHNA will coincide with the next 4-year update to Plan Bay Area, which will occur in 2021 However, the projections in Plan Bay Area 2040 may influence the upcoming RHNA Household and Employment Forecast for Pleasanton With the release of the Draft Preferred Scenario, ABAG and MTC have released household and employment forecasts until 2040 Since receiving initial forecast information from ABAG and MTC, staff has been actively communicating with ABAG and MTC staff to urge a lower forecast for Pleasanton that is in line with the planned growth in the City's existing policy documents Staff has also recently had the opportunity to view the UrbanSim model, which appears to incorrectly identify attributes including residential units, jobs, total square footage, and date of construction throughout the City For example, one of the few sites in the City showin g J ob spaces" is currently being developed with residential uses (it is unclear whether job spaces refers to existing jobs or projected jobs) It is also unclear why the land use attribute in UrbanSim appears largely inconsistent with the City's General Plan Land Use Map and Zoning Ordinance As noted in an October 13, 2016 letter to ABAG and MTC, staff is requesting more information on the UrbanSim model to better understand the underlying assumptions and how the model is used to develop projections The Draft Preferred Scenario for Pleasanton indicates household and employment growth summarized in Table 1 for "City-wide," and Table 2 for "PDA Hacienda " Please note that ABAG staff has clarified that PDA numbers are included in the City-wide numbers Table 1: September 2016 Draft Preferred Scenario — City-wide Households Employment Plan Bay Area Growth Proposed 2010 2040 2010 2040 Projection City Wide 24,700 34,600 60,100 69,900 2010-2040 Change (30 Years) 9,900 9,800 Number Per Year (Over 30 Years) 330 327 2010-2040 Percentage Change 40% 16% Average Percentage Change Per Year 1.3% 0.5% Page 3 of 5