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Community Choice Aggregation Feasibility Analysis Alameda County <br /> How Job Impacts Are Measured <br /> The scenario-specific elements described in the prior section are expressed as annual dollar <br /> amounts(plus or minus) in comparison to what would have been expected in the county <br /> economy without a CCA. Initially these amounts supplied by MRW and Tierra are general, <br /> representing total project cost by year. The annual investment for specific types of renewable <br /> energy projects and of making further energy-efficiency improvements are really comprised of <br /> some portion spent on installation labor, a large portion for the equipment(either manufactured <br /> in the region or if not, a leakage to imports), and some small portion soft project costs. These <br /> details are necessary for modeling impacts on the county economy due to a CCA program. <br /> A macroeconomic impact(industry) forecasting model of Alameda County45 is used, the dollar <br /> amounts, with further data refinement(detail) are introduced to the model, the economy adjusts <br /> to these spending and savings changes by year and then identifies annual impacts in terms of <br /> dollar concepts (wages, sales,prices, gross regional product) and jobs, among numerous other <br /> metrics. Appendix E provides some high-level background on the REMI Policy Insight model. <br /> This model was chosen since it is uniquely qualified over other models and approaches to <br /> understand how price(or rate) changes on the business segment(Commercial/Industrial energy <br /> customers) influence business activity levels. Since electric rate differentials are a key <br /> consideration in pursuing a CCA, the study required a method that would adequately address <br /> this. <br /> Scenario Results <br /> MRW created the three supply scenarios by considering how much within county RE investment <br /> (for future generating assets) the CCA could fund, and how much it might invest elsewhere in <br /> California(rest of California or"roCA"). Program administration and energy efficiency <br /> deployment investments are the same in all three scenarios. As can be seen from Table 17, <br /> scenario 3 has the most proposed CCA renewables investment within county but, it has the <br /> lowest bill savings. In contrast scenario 1 would site a smaller renewables investment by the <br /> CCA as within county, but has proportionally much higher bill savings. <br /> u The model is a Policy Insight model by Regional Economic Models,Inc.(REMI)of Amherst,MA.It is a model <br /> that has been used by the CA Energy Commission,CALTrans,Los Angeles MTA,ABAG,City of San Francisco, <br /> and the South Coast AQMD.For this study a two-region socio-economic forecasting model(the county,and balance <br /> of State)with 23-industries was used. <br /> July,2016 35 MRW&Associates,LLC <br />