total. ABAG anticipates these same counties will take the majority of the region's job
<br />growth (64 percent). Thirty -two percent of the forecast and proposed housing growth
<br />occurs in San Jose, San Francisco, and Oakland. Seventeen percent goes to medium -
<br />sized cities like Fremont, Santa Rosa, Berkeley, Hayward, Concord, and Santa Clara.
<br />For Alameda County, household and job totals were allocated as shown in Table 1
<br />below.
<br />Table 1: Initial Vision Scenario -
<br />Household and Job Growth by Jurisdiction for Alameda County
<br />Alameda County
<br />Households
<br />Jobs
<br />2010
<br />2036
<br />Growth
<br />Percent
<br />Change
<br />2010
<br />2036
<br />Growth
<br />Percent
<br />Change
<br />Alameda
<br />31,774
<br />39,873
<br />8,099
<br />25.5%
<br />25,347
<br />37,416
<br />12,089
<br />47.6%
<br />Albany
<br />7,150
<br />9,317
<br />2,167
<br />30.3%
<br />4476
<br />4,974
<br />498
<br />11.1%
<br />Berkeley
<br />48,148
<br />81,876
<br />15,730
<br />34.1%
<br />69,762
<br />78,575
<br />8,794
<br />12.6%
<br />Dublin
<br />15572
<br />32216
<br />16,644
<br />108.9%
<br />18,058
<br />33,400
<br />15,342
<br />85.0%
<br />Emeryvile
<br />5,770
<br />13,280
<br />7,490
<br />129.8%
<br />18,198
<br />25,479
<br />7,281
<br />40.0%
<br />Fremont
<br />71,004
<br />98,564
<br />27,560
<br />38.8%
<br />86,839
<br />128,484
<br />41,645
<br />48.0%
<br />Hayward
<br />46,300
<br />61,283
<br />14,982
<br />32.4%
<br />66,135
<br />84,730
<br />18,595
<br />28.1%
<br />Livermore
<br />28,862
<br />.40,801
<br />12,138
<br />42.3%
<br />28,485
<br />48,930
<br />18,445
<br />64.8%
<br />tsawmk
<br />13,530
<br />19,331
<br />5,802
<br />42.9%
<br />19,049
<br />21,799
<br />2,750
<br />14A%
<br />Oakland
<br />160,567
<br />226,019
<br />65,453
<br />406%
<br />187,328
<br />254,848
<br />67,518
<br />36.0%
<br />Piedmont
<br />3,810
<br />3,820
<br />10
<br />0.3%
<br />2,091
<br />2,171
<br />80
<br />3,8%
<br />Pleasanton
<br />24,034
<br />33,819
<br />9,785
<br />40.7%
<br />52,715
<br />70,156
<br />17,382
<br />32.9%
<br />San Leandro
<br />31,647
<br />40,447
<br />8,800
<br />27.8%
<br />38,532
<br />51,808
<br />13,074.
<br />33.9%
<br />Unbn City
<br />20,420
<br />25,900
<br />5,460
<br />28.8%
<br />17,919
<br />33,560
<br />15,842
<br />87.3%
<br />Alameda County
<br />Unincorporated
<br />51,265
<br />83,872
<br />12,808
<br />246%
<br />40,578
<br />51,320
<br />10,744
<br />28.5%
<br />Countywide Total
<br />567,851
<br />770,397
<br />212,746
<br />38.274
<br />676,691
<br />928,449
<br />219,889
<br />37.0%
<br />According to ABAG, Pleasanton is projected to have 17,382 new jobs between 2010
<br />and 2035. In the IVS, 9,785 new housing units are allocated to Pleasanton between
<br />2010 and 2035, 3,862 of which are assigned to Hacienda Business Park which, as
<br />described above, is a potential PDA.
<br />Table 2, below, compares the Pleasanton General Plan's housing unit and job
<br />estimates to those in the IVS. Meaningful comparisons between the two documents,
<br />are limited as they generally cover different time periods. Nevertheless, Table 2 shows
<br />that the Pleasanton General Plan's employment estimates are based on ABAG's
<br />estimates. It generally shows that ABAG acknowledges the economic downturn of the
<br />last few years (by allocating a lower the total employment number in 2010). It also
<br />shows ABAG's optimism that the employment growth rate has not changed significantly,
<br />as it continues to estimate new job growth in Pleasanton between 2010 and 2035 to be
<br />approximately 17,000 new jobs, the same number it estimated in 2007. As noted
<br />above, other jurisdictions in Alameda County requested that ABAG reconsider and
<br />provide more information related to employment projections.
<br />Page 5 of 7
<br />
|