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Table 3 <br />Projection of Required Annual Contribution (ARC) Net Annual Investment in <br />Trust for Period 2009 throu h 2011 <br />Projection of Required Annual Contribution (ARC) Net Annual Investment in Trust <br />(in millions 000's omitted) <br />2008 -09 <br />2009 -10 <br />2010 -11 <br />Non -Fire <br />LPFD <br />5,196 <br />4,636 <br />4,787 <br />2,548 <br />2,213 <br />2,285 <br />Total ARC <br />7,744 <br />6,849 <br />7,072 <br />Less <br />Estimated Net Annual <br />Annual Benefit Investment in <br />Cost Trust <br />1,800 <br />1,980 <br />2,178 <br />5,944 <br />4,869 <br />4,894 <br />As with any actuarially based projection, numerous program variables can impact the <br />overall result. As an example, fluctuations in interest rates, cost of benefits such as the <br />increase in health premiums, and the number of new program participants can result in <br />increased or decreased liabilities. Also, making a decision to fund OPEB requirement <br />over a thirty rather then a twenty year period will increase the liability and annual ARC <br />contributions. However, utilizing generally accepted actuarial standards, such as a thirty <br />year funding period, yields an accurate risk assessment and clear estimate of OPEB <br />costs. Based on the assumptions detailed above, staff has identified the pre- funding <br />Scenario as the most appropriate upon which to determine program cost estimates and <br />liabilities. The ARC shown in Table 3 for FY 2008 -09 will be slightly higher that the ARC <br />for FY 2009 -10 and FY 2010 -11. This is because the 2006 actuarial valuation is being <br />used for the FY 2008 -09 ARC and the 2008 valuation is being used for FY 2009 -10 and <br />FY 2010 -11 ARC. Doing this will provide certainty in the ARC for the next two year <br />budget cycle. The assumptions for the updated 2008 valuation included changes in the <br />health premiums that were lower than expected which reduced the ARC for the next two <br />year period. <br />DISCUSSION <br />As indicated above, staff identified the UAAL and the ARC which will serve as the basis <br />for funding the post retirement benefit over time. Based on this, staff has spent <br />considerable time analyzing various options for funding the ARC. Consistent with GASB <br />standards, the following three options are generally available: <br />Issue debt to fund the entire unfunded liability <br />Continue pay -as- you -go practice <br />Pre -fund the OPEB liability (e.g. making annual payments consistent with the ARC) <br />While the issuance of debt could meet the City's UAAL, a debt issue of this type would <br />be taxable, and therefore would not offer the low cost financing a public agency typically <br />receives when issuing tax exempt debt. In addition, if the investments that bond <br />proceeds were invested in did not perform as expected, increased contributions would <br />Page 7 of 13 <br />