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<br />The travel demand forecasting model predicts future travel demand given forecasts <br />of local and regional future land uses and highway improvements, including the <br />addition of freeway HOV and auxiliary lanes and ramp metering. It accomplishes <br />this in four steps: trip generation, trip distribution, mode choice, and traffic <br />assignment. The trip generation step converts land uses into estimates of daily trip <br />generation. The trip distribution step determines where the trips will go. The <br />mode choice step estimates whether the trips will be made by auto. The assignment <br />step converts the daily trips into peak hour trips, with and without peak hour <br />spreading, and assigns the trips to specific streets and freeways. <br /> <br />The travel demand forecasting model was recently converted to Citilabs <br />CubeNoyager software, the new software adopted by the Alameda County <br />Congestion Management Agency. <br /> <br />. The City's travel demand model includes the Tri-Valley "Triangle" land <br />development and roadway network data. <br /> <br />. The model also includes county-to-county travel data for forecasting San <br />Joaquin trips through the Tri-valley and to other Bay Area destinations. <br /> <br />. The model estimates traffic generated within Pleasanton on a house-by- <br />house, business-by-business basis, aggregated to traffic analysis zones <br />(TAZs). <br /> <br />. The model automatically assigns vehicles to fastest available route taking <br />into account regional freeway congestion and local street congestion. <br /> <br />. The model estimates regional cut-through traffic as well as local <br />neighborhood cut-through. <br /> <br />. Travel mode choice data from local and regional surveys reflects regional <br />transit improvements and shortcomings. <br /> <br />. Level of service is estimated on an integrated "system" basis, rather than as <br />isolated intersections. Approach specific level of service computed based on <br />delay and volume/capacity ratio. <br /> <br />. Micro-simulation analysis enables consideration of upstream and <br />downstream effects of congestion on intersection operation. <br /> <br />Model Study Area and Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZs) System <br /> <br />Traffic in and through the City of Pleasanton is affected by local trip generation and <br />travel destinations as well as traffic that can enter or exit the City. The study area <br />for the model should include all of the areas where changes in travel demand and <br />transportation networks would affect travel patterns in the City of Pleasanton. For <br />example, traffic patterns in Pleasanton are affected by relative congestion levels on <br />1-580, 1-680 and SR 84, so the model should include the areas served by each of <br />these highways (see graphic of model study area in the appendix). <br /> <br />City of Pleasanton <br />Travel Demand Forecasting and Micro-Simulation Models <br /> <br />Page 2 <br />January 23, 2007 <br />