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Page 3 of 10 <br />by the City Council, staff will proceed to the Documentation and Adoption phase, which <br />includes documenting the rate study methodology and presenting a final report to be <br />considered by the City Council in June, conducting the ratepayer notification process from <br />July-September, and recommending City Council approval for final water rates adoption in <br />October 2025. <br /> <br />DISCUSSION <br />Financial Plan Analysis Assumptions <br />The financial plan analysis made two major assumptions from the recent City year-end report <br />on the water fund reserve target and the industrial standard practice of debt coverage <br />requirements. <br /> <br />The operating reserve policy adopted by the City Council on June 6, 2023, requires reserves <br />between 30.0-40.0 percent of operating expenses with a target of 35.0 percent. The current <br />20.9 percent reserve level is significantly below the recommended target. In the financial plan <br />analysis, staff set an operating and capital reserve target of 35 percent of annual operating <br />expenses aligned with the City Council's direction; this is equivalent to about $15 million. The <br />purpose of the reserve fund is to set aside funds to pay for unexpected operating costs, cost <br />increases, emergencies and similar unexpected, unplanned costs. <br /> <br />The financial plan also assumed a minimum of 125 percent of annual debt service. Under this <br />assumption, the net revenue must be 1.25 times the annual debt service. This goal aims to <br />avoid technical default, maintain debt rating, and preserve the ability to issue debt in the future. <br />Similar to other water retailers, the City could elect to choose its own internal policy of 150, <br />175, or 200 percent to secure better bond ratings and interest rates; however, collectively <br />WRE, staff and the Water Advisory Group recommend 125 percent, based on where the water <br />fund is currently and industry standard. <br /> <br />Implementation Scenarios and Analysis Results <br />The financial plan analysis conducted is driven by the needs identified and cost estimated in <br />the WSMP. Three implementation scenarios were analyzed in this process: Stabilize, Enhance <br />and Accelerate. The scenarios represent three levels of investment in the City’s water system <br />to enhance water service level reliability, rehabilitate aging infrastructure, improve distribution <br />system and fire flow capacity, etc. The three proposed financial plan scenarios evaluate <br />various levels of rate revenue adjustments and capital financing strategies, including potential <br />debt financing. These scenarios are designed to ensure the water enterprise meets its financial <br />performance targets, funds essential system improvements, and supports the selected WSMP <br />CIP alternative. <br /> <br />As an overview, the 5-year WSMP costs for each scenario are: <br />• Stabilize: reduced near-term costs, deferred projects for infrastructure rehabilitation, <br />higher long-term costs – $63.0 million <br />• Enhance: slightly reduced near-term costs, deferred some projects for infrastructure <br />rehabilitation, higher long-term costs – $73.2 million <br />• Accelerate: invest in infrastructure rehabilitation, increased near-term costs, lower long- <br />term costs, more difficult for staff to implement – $108.0 million <br /> <br />Page 5 of 27