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City of Pleasanton CEQA GHG Emissions Thresholds and Guidance Table of Contents 1 Introduction....................................................................................................................................1 1.1 GHG Emissions Analyses Under CEQA................................................................................1 1.2 Qualified GHG Emissions Reduction Plan...........................................................................3 2 Climate Action Plan Summary........................................................................................................6 2.1 Communitywide GHG Emissions Inventories .....................................................................6 2.2 GHG Emission Reduction Strategy......................................................................................6 2.3 GHG Emissions Forecast......................................................................................................8 3 Regulatory and Legal Setting........................................................................................................12 3.1 Relevant CEQA Guidelines Sections..................................................................................12 3.2 Relevant State and Regional GHG Reduction Targets ......................................................16 3.3 Relevant GHG Emissions Analysis Case Law.....................................................................18 4 Determining Consistency with the CAP........................................................................................20 5 Utilizing Quantitative CEQA GHG Thresholds...............................................................................23 5.1 Thresholds Calculation Methodology...............................................................................23 5.2 Thresholds and Use...........................................................................................................26 5.3 Justification for Thresholds...............................................................................................27 6 Quantifying GHG Emissions..........................................................................................................31 6.1 Construction GHG Emissions ............................................................................................31 6.2 Operational GHG Emissions..............................................................................................32 6.3 Modeling GHG Emissions from Existing Land Use............................................................34 7 Moving into the Future.................................................................................................................36 Overview of GHG Emissions and Climate Change................................................................................39 Climate Change and Greenhouse Gases.......................................................................................39 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventories........................................................................................40 Potential Effects of Climate Change .............................................................................................41 Tables Table 1 CAP 2.0 Consistency with CEQA Guidelines Section 15183.5(b)(1)for 2030 .....................4 Table 2 Pleasanton 1990, 2005, and 2017 Communitywide GHG Emissions Levels.......................6 Table 3 Pleasanton GHG Emissions Reduction by 2030..................................................................8 Table 4 Pleasanton GHG Emissions Forecast Through 2045.........................................................10 Table 5 Pleasanton Demographic Projections...............................................................................25 Table 6 Pleasanton 2030 CAP-Adjusted Emissions and Communitywide GHG Thresholds..........25 Table 7 Pleasanton Locally Applicable Plan/Project CEQA GHG Emissions Thresholds................27