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Tri-Valley Transportation Council │ 2020 Nexus Fee Update Study
<br />August 2021 │ Final 9
<br />
<br />Figure 4: Total Employment Forecasts by Agency
<br />
<br />Table 6 presents the estimate growth between the base year of 2020 and the 2040 horizon year by
<br />employment type. Manufacturing, Service, and Other-type employment are forecasted to have the highest
<br />growth with a 60%, 33%, and 31% change, respectively. Retail and Trade/Wholesale-type employment are
<br />forecasted to have the smaller growth with a 20% and 19% change respectively. Agricultural-type employee
<br />is expected to have very little change. Figure 5 through Figure 10 summarizes the growth for each
<br />employment type by agency.
<br />Table 6: Total Employment Forecasts by Employment Type
<br />Employment Type 2020 2040 2020-2040
<br />Growth
<br />Percent
<br />Change
<br />Annual
<br />Growth
<br />Rate
<br />Retail 50,168 60,403 10,235 20% 0.93%
<br />Service 69,029 91,685 22,656 33% 1.43%
<br />Other 67,621 88,356 20,735 31% 1.35%
<br />Agricultural 1,225 1,224 -1 0% 0.00%
<br />Manufacturing 14,942 23,842 8,900 60% 2.36%
<br />Trade/Wholesale 7,338 8,760 1,422 19% 0.89%
<br />Total Employment 210,323 274,270 63,947 30% 1.34%
<br />Note:
<br />Service employment includes professional services/offices, public administration, health services, educational services, hotel, etc.
<br />Other employment includes car washes, repair-maintenance services, personal care services, civic and social organization etc.
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />1%, 189 40%, 9,314
<br />45%, 20,757
<br />39%, 24,293
<br />17%, 8,488
<br />13%, 555 8%, 351
<br />0
<br />10,000
<br />20,000
<br />30,000
<br />40,000
<br />50,000
<br />60,000
<br />70,000
<br />80,000
<br />90,000
<br />100,000
<br />Danville Dublin Livermore Pleasanton San Ramon Alameda
<br />Unincorporated
<br />Contra Costa
<br />UnincorporatedEmployment
<br />Existing Total Employment Total Employment Growth
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