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02
City of Pleasanton
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2019
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091919
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CITY CLERK
CITY CLERK - TYPE
AGENDA REPORT
DOCUMENT DATE
9/19/2019
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Statewide Results <br />Local sales and use tax receipts from <br />January through March sales were 1.0% <br />higher than the first quarter of 2018 <br />after factoring out accounting anoma- <br />lies and back payments from previous <br />state reporting shortfalls. This was the <br />lowest percentage increase since first <br />quarter, 2010. <br />The growth came primarily from a <br />solid quarter for purchases related to <br />expanding logistics, medical and tech- <br />nology facilities and modest gains in <br />building -construction supplies and <br />restaurants. Cannabis sales produced <br />a slight uptick in the food -drug group. <br />Lower fuel prices and declining gener- <br />al consumer good purchases offset the <br />gains. The shift to internet purchases <br />continued with online shopping ac- <br />counting for 22.3% of the total general <br />consumer goods segment versus 20.2% <br />one year ago. Tax receipts from new <br />car sales exhibited significant reductions <br />although the drop was partially offset <br />by an upswing in used autos and auto <br />leases. <br />Regional changes ranged from a de- <br />cline of 2.1% to gains as high as 4.4%. <br />However, the differences were primar- <br />ily attributable to onetime projects or <br />capital purchases and not reflective of <br />overall economic trends. <br />Slower Growth Ahead? <br />July marks ten years of continuous <br />economic growth which is the longest <br />period of U.S. economic expansion on <br />record. However, analysts from a vari- <br />ety of economic segments are reporting <br />signs that we may be leveling off. <br />This quarter marked the eighth consecu- <br />tive comparative period decline in Cali- <br />fornia new car registrations with analysts <br />noting that higher prices and a growing <br />supply of vehicles coming off lease are <br />making used cars more attractive. They <br />also note that on -demand services such <br />as Uber and Lyft are making it easier <br />for debt -burdened millennials to avoid <br />buying cars altogether. <br />Rising restaurant menu prices, renewed <br />competition from grocer prepared <br />meals, and cutbacks in foreign tourism <br />appear to be reducing restaurant patron- <br />age which in recent years was one of the <br />state's fastest growth segments. There <br />will be an uptick in the second quar- <br />ter's fuel -related tax receipts because of <br />that period's refinery shutdowns; lower <br />crude oil costs are expected to produce <br />subsequent declines. <br />Uncertainty over U.S. tariff and trade <br />policies plus labor shortages are delaying <br />some investment and business expansion <br />decisions while reduced home sales and <br />two quarters of declining construction <br />permit values suggest a potential future <br />leveling in that sector. Investment in <br />technological advances should continue <br />and remain strong. <br />Economic shifts are not the only fac- <br />tor leveling sales tax revenues. With an <br />economy based on intellectual technol- <br />ogy rather than goods and consumer <br />priorities shifting to non-taxable services <br />and experiences, sales tax no longer re- <br />flects 21st century spending. Each year <br />therefore, the portion of the economy <br />that is taxed, shrinks. <br />$8,000 <br />$6,000 <br />$4,000 <br />$2,000 <br />$0 <br />Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 <br />16 17 18 19 <br />Pleasanton County California <br />Bus./Ind. <br />21% <br />111/0 12% <br />'In thousands of dollars <br />Pleasanton <br />Business Type <br />Q1 119' <br />Change <br />Auto Lease <br />- CONFIDENTIAL <br />- <br />Building Materials <br />- CONFIDENTIAL <br />- <br />Casual Dining <br />336.9 <br />19.9% <br />Department Stores <br />217.0 <br />-2.9% <br />Electrical Equipment <br />260.9 <br />67.6% <br />Electronics/Appliance Stores <br />135.7 <br />-11.0% <br />Family Apparel <br />147.0 <br />50.3% <br />Medical/Biotech <br />265.2 <br />23.0% <br />New Motor Vehicle Dealers <br />722.0 <br />-10.3% <br />Office Equipment <br />172.6 <br />47.4% <br />Office Supplies/Furniture <br />168.1 <br />207.1% <br />Quick -Service Restaurants <br />168.4 <br />14.1% <br />Service Stations <br />253.0 <br />10.8% <br />Specialty Stores <br />132.1 <br />21.2% <br />Used Automotive Dealers <br />- CONFIDENTIAL <br />- <br />County <br />Change <br />na <br />2.2% <br />15.6% <br />11.9% <br />115.3% <br />0.5% <br />5.0% <br />-3.5% <br />-18.0% <br />-6.6% <br />-22.5% <br />9.0% <br />14.3% <br />19.6% <br />2.6% <br />HdL State <br />Change <br />na <br />4.0% <br />13.3% <br />35.0% <br />20.8% <br />-3.2% <br />7.1% <br />6.0% <br />-1.8% <br />-7.4% <br />-0.7% <br />10.1% <br />15.8% <br />23.4% <br />13.4% <br />Total All Accounts <br />4,849.6 <br />18.0% <br />9.1% 13.5% <br />County & State Pool Allocation <br />906.8 <br />33.2% <br />23.1% 23.8% <br />Gross Receipts <br />5,756.5 <br />20.2% <br />11.1% 14.9% <br />City/County Share <br />(287.8) <br />-20.2% <br />Net Receipts <br />5,468.6 <br />20.2% <br />s.Goods <br />8% <br />Pools <br />16% <br />
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