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12
City of Pleasanton
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CITY CLERK
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AGENDA PACKETS
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2018
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120418
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11/28/2018 8:38:41 AM
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11/27/2018 2:36:10 PM
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CITY CLERK
CITY CLERK - TYPE
AGENDA REPORT
DOCUMENT DATE
12/4/2018
DESTRUCT DATE
15Y
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DISCUSSION HIGHLIGHTS <br /> A continued flattening yield curve has been a source of concern for investors, since inversions (defined as higher short-term rates relative <br /> to longer-term rates) have preceded every recession since World War II. The widely watched 10-year minus 2-year yield spread <br /> continued to narrow to a post-crisis low of 0.23% at the end of the quarter. However, many market observers pointed to the wider 10- <br /> year Note minus 3-month T-bill spread of 0.85% as contradictory evidence the economy was not nearing a recession. <br /> Performance <br /> The Pleasanton Capital Growth account returned 1.94% gross of investment fees for the third quarter. As the account was being <br /> averaged-in to a steadily rising market throughout the time period, the investments that were made later in the quarter captured higher <br /> prices than if the account was fully invested for the entire quarter. As such, performance trailed the fully-invested benchmark. The <br /> Pleasanton Conservative account was higher by .52% gross of investment fees. Domestic equity markets continued to display strength <br /> on the back of strong corporate earnings growth. Issues surrounding tariffs and trade provided headwinds to international equity <br /> performance. The MSCI-EAFE Index did post a modest gain of 1.35% in the quarter. The continued strength in the dollar kept gains <br /> muted however. In the quarter, the two accounts' equities returned about 4.81%. <br /> The Fed's September 26th meeting saw all nine voting members of the FOMC approve an increase in the benchmark rate of 25 basis <br /> points to a range of 2% to 2.25%, the highest level since spring 2008. The panel also indicated that an additional hike could come at the <br /> upcoming December meeting. The Fed's outlook for the economy as noted in its post-meeting statement reduced concerns over the <br /> potential for an inverted yield curve which some investors believe foreshadows economic recession. On September 18th, the bellwether <br /> bond reached 3%, which offered a headwind for investment returns. This environment of rising rates provided a challenge to generating <br /> investment returns for the Plans' fixed income holdings. The Capital Growth Plan's actively-managed fixed income segment returned <br /> 0.09%, which was slightly ahead of the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index return of 0.02%. The Conservative portfolio fixed- <br /> income segment equaled the benchmark return as it is invested in the benchmark ETF. <br /> The Plans' overall asset allocation remained constant for the quarter at slightly overweight stocks and underweight bonds. Since the end <br /> of September, we reduced our allocation to international, and increased our allocation to large cap domestic equities. This reduction was <br /> due to elevated geopolitical risks as lingering and unresolved trade conflicts could potentially harm international equities more than <br /> domestic markets. We also reduced intermediate bonds and increased short-term bonds to reduce risk to rising interest rates. <br /> IGHIIVI <br /> H ARK® City of Pleasanton <br /> 111 rl 1� 3 <br /> CAPITAL MANAGEMENT <br />
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