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Community Choice Aggregation Feasibility Analysis Alameda County <br /> until it drops off completely in the late 2030s. MRW's forecast of the residential PCIA charge <br /> through 2030 is summarized in Table 4. <br /> Table 4. PG&E Residential PCIA Charges, 0/kWh (nominal) <br /> 2015 2018 2020 2025 2030 <br /> 2.3 2.5 2.2 1.1 0.9 <br /> Pro Forma Elements and CCA Costs of Service <br /> MRW conducted a pro forma analysis to evaluate the expected financial performance of the <br /> CCA and the CCA's competitive position vis a vis PG&E. The analysis was conducted on a <br /> forward looking basis from the expected start of CCA operations in 2017 through the year 2030, <br /> with several scenarios considered to address uncertainty in future circumstances. <br /> Pro Forma Elements <br /> Figure 13 provides a schematic of the pro forma analysis, outlining the input elements of the <br /> analysis and the output results. The analysis involves a comparison between the generation- <br /> related costs that would be paid by Alameda County CCA customers and the generation-related <br /> costs that would be paid by PG&E bundled service customers. Costs paid by CCA customers <br /> include all CCA-related costs (i.e., supply portfolio costs, net energy efficiency costs,29 and <br /> administrative and general costs) and exit fee payments that CCA customers will be required to <br /> make to PG&E. <br /> As discussed in previous sections, supply portfolio costs and energy efficiency program costs are <br /> informed and affected by CCA loads, by the requirements the CCA will need to meet(or will <br /> choose to meet) such as with respect to renewable procurement, and by CCA participation levels, <br /> which can vary depending on whether or not all cities in the county choose to join the CCA. <br /> Administrative and general costs are discussed further below. <br /> 29 We anticipate that Alameda County CCA's energy efficiency costs will be fully offset by Public Benefits Charge <br /> revenue provided by PG&E for the purpose of energy efficiency programming and that net costs to Alameda County <br /> CCA will be zero. <br /> July,2016 14 MRW&Associates,LLC <br />