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Community Choice Aggregation Feasibility Analysis Alameda County <br /> Figure 6. CCA Peak Demand Forecast,2017-2030 <br /> 1,800 <br /> 1,600 <br /> • r • • • • • ■ —•—• <br /> 1,400 <br /> 1,200 <br /> 1,000 <br /> 2 800 <br /> 600 <br /> 400 <br /> 200 <br /> 0 <br /> 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 <br /> Energy Efficiency <br /> The assessment of energy efficiency potential in Alameda County completed for this feasibility <br /> study used outputs from the 201315 and 201516 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals studies <br /> developed by the CPUC. These CPUC studies define the technical and economic potential for <br /> energy efficiency in PG&E's service territory. They also determine the market potential used to <br /> set goals and budgets for PG&E's energy efficiency programs.17 Because of its size, varied <br /> economy, diverse demographics, and range of climates, it is likely that both energy use <br /> characteristics and the potential for energy efficiency in Alameda County is consistent with the <br /> potential for energy efficiency in PG&E's overall service territory, with some exceptions, such <br /> as a reduced presence of agricultural and oil extraction loads found elsewhere in the state. Based <br /> on these consistencies,this analysis concludes that the energy efficiency potential for electricity <br /> in PG&E's overall service territory as presented in the CPUC studies can be allocated to <br /> Alameda County in proportion to overall electricity sales, which average approximately 7.5% of <br /> total annual PG&E electricity sales. <br /> Using this approach to interpreting the output from CPUC potential studies, Table 1 provides a <br /> range of estimates of technical and economic potential in Alameda County for a forecast horizon <br /> from the 2017 to 2024. This provides a general indication of the total amount of energy <br /> efficiency potential that exists in Alameda County that PG&E and any CCA administered <br /> programs would be serving. <br /> 152013 California Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study,Final Report.Prepared for the California Public <br /> Utilities Commission by Navigant Consulting,Inc.February 14,2014 <br /> 16 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study for 2015 and Beyond,Stage 1 Final Report.Prepared for the <br /> California Public Utilities Commission by Navigant Consulting,Inc.Reference No.: 174655,September 25,2015 <br /> 17 See Appendix A for a discussion of technical,economic,and market potential. <br /> July,2016 4 MRW&Associates,LLC <br />