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22
City of Pleasanton
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CITY CLERK
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AGENDA PACKETS
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2016
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100416
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11/30/2016 2:23:44 PM
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CITY CLERK
CITY CLERK - TYPE
AGENDA REPORT
DOCUMENT DATE
10/4/2016
DESTRUCT DATE
15Y
DOCUMENT NO
21
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Capacity Costs <br /> PG&E must procure capacity to meet 115%of its anticipated peak demand in order to fulfill its <br /> resource adequacy requirement. PG&E's own power plants can be used to meet this requirement, <br /> as can power plants with which PG&E has contracts. <br /> To estimate PG&E's capacity requirements, MRW started with the Capacity Supply Plan that <br /> PG&E submitted to the California Energy Commission in 2015,36 which forecasts PG&E's peak <br /> demand and existing capacity resources for each of the years 2013-2024. With limited <br /> exception,37 MRW used PG&E's data where publicly available and extended the forecasts to <br /> 2030. In extending these forecasts, we used assumptions that are consistent with those used in <br /> our assessments of energy sales and costs, including load growth escalation and the projected <br /> retirement of PG&E's nuclear plant. We also added in anticipated capacity from new renewable <br /> procurement and from new energy storage and adjusted the calculation to account for the portion <br /> of Resource Adequacy credits that is allocated to non-bundled customers. <br /> As with the Alameda CCA's capacity cost forecast, MRW priced capacity at the median price of <br /> recent Resource Adequacy capacity sales, escalated with inflation.38 <br /> Rate Development <br /> Following the methodologies described above, MRW developed a forecast of PG&E's <br /> generation revenue requirement and divided these expenses by the expected PG&E sales in order <br /> to obtain a forecast of the system-average generation rate. We calculated annual escalators based <br /> on these system-average rates and applied them to the generation rates that are currently in effect <br /> for each customer class.39 <br /> 36 California Energy Commission,Energy Almanac,Utility Capacity Supply Plans from 2015. September 4,2015 <br /> 37 The main exception is that we increased energy efficiency and demand response growth to comply with SB 350 <br /> requirements to double energy efficiency by 2030 and the anticipated continuation of CPUC demand response <br /> initiatives. <br /> 38 CPUC 2013-2014 Resource Adequacy Report Final,August 5,2015,page 23 Table 11. <br /> 39 PG&E Advice Letter AL-4805-E,effective March 24,2016. <br /> C-5 <br />
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