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Pleasanton) but is primarily due to falling birth rates observed in the region in recent <br /> years. A net decline of 550 TK-5 students is forecasted for the end of the projection <br /> period in 2025. <br /> Previous recommendations suggested the District would need to consider at least one <br /> facility in East Pleasanton as soon as 2020. The updated information indicates that birth <br /> rates have fallen considerably causing the size of projected incoming Kindergarten <br /> classes to fall as well. The fall 2015 kindergarten class was the result of 694 births <br /> reported for the two zip codes making up the District in 2010. Skip ahead to 2012 and <br /> we see that the total number of births has fallen all the way to 590 representing a <br /> decline of nearly 15%. While the total births for 2013 and 2014 are higher than the low <br /> seen in 2012 they are still not large enough to produce kindergarten class larger than <br /> the current 2015 class. Such a decline will inevitably lead to smaller incoming <br /> kindergarten classes providing relief to the impacted northwest region of the District. <br /> DDP no longer sees enough growth occurring in the northwest region to justify the <br /> opening of a new school. However, the Donlon attendance area could be redrawn to <br /> more evenly distribute the resident population amongst other attendance areas that <br /> have excess capacity. <br /> With the City Council's decision to halt the EPSP and the subsequent elimination of <br /> EPSP from the unit forecast provided by city planners, DDP no longer projects the need <br /> for an additional facility at any point over the next 10 years as average enrollment at <br /> each of the District's 9 elementary facilities should stand at 636 students by 2025. This <br /> recommendation is bases on current information that could and has changed in the <br /> past. As such it will be critical for the District to continue to closely monitor plans for <br /> residential development as changes to current plans could have an impact on future <br /> resident student population. <br /> Once the district fully matures some time beyond 2025 the District should see a resident <br /> student population that could support 11 facilities with average enrollment of 717 <br /> students. No additional middle school or high school facilities will be needed over the <br /> next 10 years or at maturity based upon the most recent projections. <br /> The District plans to closely monitor the growth of the residential development, reported <br /> births and update student projections annually to make sure to track any new trends <br /> that could impact future student population trends. Doing so will give a better idea of <br /> exactly when any plans to adjust potential capacity issues would need to be <br /> implemented as the time nears. <br /> Page 3 of 4 <br />