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Draft Memorandum July 25, 2013 <br /> EPSP Fiscal Impact Analysis Page 2 <br /> Key Findings <br /> The key findings from this fiscal impact analysis are described below and summarized in Table <br /> S-1. <br /> 1. Development of EPSP is likely to have no adverse fiscal impact on the City's General <br /> Fund at buildout. This analysis estimates that new growth will result in benefit on the City <br /> with net new annual revenue ranging between $387,000 and $1.4 million (see Table S-1). <br /> Property tax will comprise the largest revenue to the City, while public safety will result in the <br /> most significant cost to the General Fund. <br /> 2. Fiscal impact ranges between options based on their size and development <br /> composition. Option 6 results in the highest fiscal benefit to the City, while option 2 results <br /> in the lowest fiscal impact. While Option 6 appears to be the most feasible due to the larger <br /> number of residential uses and high development value, Option 1 has the lowest <br /> development value. The larger differences between the options are likely to depend on the <br /> relative fiscal performance of specific product types, ability to leverage existing services, and <br /> special tax capacity that could shift the cost burden from the City's General Fund. <br /> Development program for each option is shown in Table 1. <br /> 3. Fiscal results (annual surpluses or deficits) are simply indicators of fiscal <br /> performance; they do not mean that the City will accordingly have surplus revenues <br /> or deficits because it must have a balanced budget each year. While the results of the <br /> fiscal impact analysis are preliminary, persistent shortfalls shown in a fiscal impact analysis <br /> may indicate the need to reduce service levels or obtain additional revenues; persistent <br /> surpluses will provide the City with resources to improve overall service levels or reduce <br /> liabilities, or to address deferred maintenance. <br /> Table S-1 — Annual General Fund Impact Summary <br /> kern Option 1 Option 4 Option 5 Option 6 <br /> Revenues $3,756,844 $3,986,327 $4,088,725 $5,488,346 <br /> Expenditures $2,832,722 $3,599,265 $3,137,148 $4,085,968 <br /> Net Fiscal Impact $924,122 $387,062 $951,577 $1,402,378 <br /> Sources:City of Pleasanton and Economic&Planning Systems, Inc. <br /> Methodological Overview <br /> EPS developed a fiscal impact model designed to test how EPSP affects General Fund costs and <br /> revenues at buildout. While State and Federal funding sources are considered indirectly, the <br /> analysis is focused primarily on the City's General Fund expenditure and revenue items that (1) <br /> represent a substantive component of the overall budget and (2) are likely to be affected by the <br /> General Plan policies and growth trends. Thus, General Fund costs and revenues that are <br /> relatively small or are operated on a cost-recovery basis are excluded from the analysis. <br /> P:1121000\1 d109OEastPleasanton\Repo,tInscal\12109ofsca!mml.docx <br />