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<br />PROPOSAL FOR <br />Adoption <br /> <br />2. Forecast Conditions <br /> <br />Since the adoption of the Tri-Valley Transportation Plan in 1995, significant changes in <br />forecasts of the expected number of new households and jobs within the Tri.Valley and <br />region have occurred. These changes, which reflect both new assumptions about growth <br />and revisions to planning policies, are outlined in the following tables and maps. <br /> <br />Foreeosl Growth of Households and Jobs. <br /> <br />Table 1 summarizes the most ABAG forecasts of household and job growth in the Tri- <br />Valley. These forecasts are shown for jurisdictions and unincorporated areas in both <br />Alameda and Contra Costa counties. <br /> <br />Household Growth The Tri-ValIey is forecast to add almost 45,000 new households between <br />2000 and 2020, a 45 percent increase. About three-quarters of that growth will occur in <br />Alameda County, especially in Dublin and Livermore. The Alameda County portions of the <br />Tri-Valley are forecast to add about 35,000 households, a 60 percent increase. Dublin <br />alone is forecast to add 14,000 new homes, an increase of 140 percent. In contrast, the <br />Contra Costa portion of the Tri-Yalley will add only 10,000 new households, almost 7,000 <br />of which will be located in the unincorporated Dougherty and Tassajara Valleys. Both <br />Dublin and Livermore will add more households individually than the Contra Costa areas <br />will as a whole. <br /> <br />Job Growth The Tri-Yalley is forecast to add jobs at a faster rate than households. Over <br />88,000 new Aom:cAgls3 ,ate expected between 2000 and 2020, a 60 percent increase. As <br />with aIds, about three-quarters of that growth will occur in Alameda County, aU of <br />jobs ich will occur in Dublin, Pleasanton and Livermore. The Alameda County portions of <br />"- the Tri-Vatlev are forecast to add about 66,0~~u5ehokls, a 60 percent increase. Dublin <br />will add the most jobs - over 23,000, a doubling of the number of jobs - but Livermore, <br />Pleasanton and San Ramon in Contra Costa will each add over 20.000 new jobs. Almost all <br />job growth in Contra Costa will occur in San Ramon, where the number of jobs will in- <br />crease by 60 percent. <br /> <br />18 April 2000 <br /> <br />Page 5 <br />